Stop and think....higher interest rates makes 2 things happen, 1-Fewer people buy because the cost of $$ has gone up (interest rates). 2-Real Estate prices drop to entice people to go out and borrow at higher rates. If $$ is cheap, everybody can afford to buy (sellers market), when $$ gets expensive via higer interest rates, buyers dry up and it becomes harder to get loans and takes away more disposable income for payments so you get a buyers market and prices will drop to compete for those few buyers. Believe me, no market segment is isolated from exposure to this (commercial, residential, rental, vacation, etc) Now from my employment point of view....when interest rates go up and banks have all of these low interest long term loans on their books that don't make them any money (interest income) and people start to default (because the rise in interest rates will trigger other economic factors) and they have to liquidate the real estate (that is collateral) in a buyers market, they lose $$ which, if they lose too much, will push them over the line and I will show up at their door. Clear as mud?? I could ramble for hours on economic indicators that all come into play (gnp, hard goods orders, unemp., etc.) but suffice to say our economy is extreemly complicated and affected by a lot of things....that's why I rely on my 18 years of doing this somewhat nasty job and my gut. I haven't been wrong yet. It's all about economic cycles. And you thought economics was b-o-r-i-n-g!! Greenspan is though....LOL
TOXIC